Thursday, May 29, 2008

We Should Celebrate Accidents

This piece of mine was published nowhere and world is a better place for that.

We live in times when progress is often denoted in statistical terms. This is in marked contrast with earlier times when any mention of statistics was considered vulgar and hence pointedly ignored in polite society much like flatulence or star wars. However with the decline of social mores and prevalence of promiscuity statistics has found acceptance in social setting, and shockingly even in policy related discussions.

Now as it turns out that even with statistics there are various measures which can be used to track progress, change in GDP, per capita income, rise in food consumption, each measure illuminating the reality from just particular view point. The question arises, then which is the best measure of India's progress.

It is my considered opinion that one very good measure is number of vehicular accidents. Number of accidents is on rise across India. The data available shows a sharp upturn during last decade in accidents and fatalities caused by them. Now as it happens many commentators are express concern over this trend, regretting loss of the lives and the limbs and demanding policies to ensure road safety. I regret to say, however, that they have not been thinking logically and thinking it through.

For the reality is, the rise in accidents is something which we should be celebrating and not regretting, as it is the single best measure of rising prosperity level. It is not difficult to figure out the reason behind this either. It means that more and more people are now finding the means to own vehicles and to go out and crash them on their own terms.

If we think that merit of society should be decided by the level of prosperity that individuals are able to attain, and indeed it must be, then surely accidents are good news. And for this, we don't need to credit recklessness, the rise of accidents all over world is a consequence of technology and can be best understood in terms of economics.

Technology

In all hand wringing over accidents, the critics fail to realize the true significance of this phenomenon. In earlier ages (when stars wars was considered impolite) , the only modes of transport available were those which were powered by energy harnessed from oxidation of ATP, a decidedly biochemical process undergoing in human or animal cells. The output from was clearly insufficient for transportation. As a result the movement was extremely time consuming. The only exceptions to this were chariot driven by Charlton Heston which was totally cool and raids by Barbarians which was a thoroughly unpleasant business.

Things changed to some extent with invention of steam engine. The power available for movement increased almost exponentially. Ideally this should have seen much desired spike in accident figure, but unfortunately it was not to be. Owing to its sheer size, external engine could not be used for personal transport. Therefore while number of accidents did arise, it was still inappreciable. But a technological revolution was to change this sorry picture.

That revolution was invention of internal combustion engine, which considerably decreased the weight as well as eased manufacture of smaller and lighter vehicles, which fueled by oil could provide enough power to make possible faster mode of transportation even for individuals.

This breakthrough meant that for the first time in the history of mankind, the speed of commute was more than what human reflexes could handle which meant almost exponential increase in incidents. And yet this is not the whole story.

Economics

At this point you must be wondering what has invention of internal engines and motor vehicles, events which took place a long time ago, got to do with Indian progress. Here comes the economics. Anyone who has read The Undercover Economist or Freakonomics might have guessed the answer. The underlying theme of both the books is that quirky manipulation of data combined with random economic concept can make any stark raving, free association, half ass, dumb shit crazy analysis sound cool, which is basically the philosophy behind such venerable publications as livemint, and such reputable bloggers as H.E.

Keeping that in mind, the connection of accidents with India shining is obvious. Prior to liberalization of economy, an average Indian didn't have sufficient disposable income after accounting for household consumption to buy personal vehicle which was considered luxury. To further complicate the matters, restrictions on manufacture and import in form of manufacturing and import permits and licenses limited the availability of motor vehicles.

This however changed during 90's. Rise in income level coupled with easier availability of vehicles had the result of making affordable what was once luxury.

This of course meant a sudden surge in number of vehicles of road. It is therefore natural that accidents increased. There is a further aspect. Drunken driving, a subcategory has shown higher increase than general trend. This is also a good news, as this implies that consumption of alcohol, decidedly a luxury good, is also increasing thus indicating overall increase in prosperity.

Social

But this observations has implication which go beyond economic indicator. For long Indians have been accused of being risk averse, a charge validated by slow speed with which bajaj scooters plodded in days of yore carrying the burden of Indian family. However reckless driving, driving under influence and driving rage are all indicators that mindset of average is transforming from cautious to a confident.

I don't think anyone can object to rising prosperity and confidence, which will allow Indians in pursuit of happiness. The accidents are bound to continue their upwards trend for a long time. In my opinion this is something we should be celebrating.

Next: Why we should celebrate AIDS.

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Conspiracy of silence

Related posts [1],[2],[3],[4]

Yossarian is right of course, as is the fallen one, or for that matter Sandeep. But that is hardly the issue, I hope it doesn't come as a surprise to anyone (except perhaps for the paragon of secular right, primary red), but it has been a while since it became clear that Shivraj Patil and Arjun Singh are, not to put too fine a point, nincompoops. Or for that matter Manmohan Singh is an incompetent and petty man, more interested in holding to his honorary post for dear life than discharging his duties with honour, more anxious to serve that wretched widow, than to serve the nation. An utter disgrace, who makes even Inder Kumar Gujral look competent by comparison

But that is not the point. Governments suck, we all know that. What is really outrageous here is the manner in which liberal-secular media has been playing a partisan role since last decade.

Even after it is clear that duo of Sonia Gandhi and Manmohan Singh is nothing but a miserable failure, even after observing the cynical manipulation and perverse pandering by the UPA government for sake of vote banks, even after the unwitnessed decline of Prime Minister's authority, and the emergence of multiple power centers in the government acting like feudal chiefs without any collective responsibility or accountability, more concerned with looting the Republic than serving its cause, even after all this, there has been absolutely no attempt by our eminent journalists, defenders of secularism and guardians of enlightenment, to interrogate either Manmohan Singh or Sonia Gandhi. The sins of omissions and commissions committed under the political authority of both the worthies are so extensive and the proof of their indifference so irrefutable it would be reasonable to expect a "neutral" media to come out with stinging op-eds indicting the unworthies for their failures.

Instead, how do the worthies in media respond, a deafening silence. Sure there are sporadic reports suggesting the extent of wheeling dealing going on, but they are quietly suppressed. And even if there is negative coverage of some particular minister that is never brought to its logical conclusion, which is that it is Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi who are ultimately answerable for the actions of ministers. Instead the media persists in its attempt to portray Manmohan Singh as a well intentioned, honest man, who is too good for politics and Indians should feel grateful that he deigned to be our master, instead of the truth that he is a career bureaucrats interested only in his tenure, not unlike some liberal academic. Similar is the narrative built around Sonia Gandhi, a reluctant royal figure whose only overriding concern is welfare of her subjects, one consumed by the state of nation, whereas by her actions she has proven that she is a shrew only interested in maintaining stranglehold of dynasty even at the price of great peril to nation. Indeed, the reluctance of brave media persons to affix the responsibility of governance is remarkable.

The blatant partisanship of media is even more obvious when compared with its behaviour towards NDA dispension. How Arun Shourie and George Fernandez, two to the most honest minister were continuously smeared, how Ram Naik was attacked for petrol pump allocation. Or the way Rajeev Pratap Singh Rudy was hounded. Or consider the derision that Atal Bihari Vajpayee got for his knee problems. Or how NDA was target of a sustained smear compaign by an enthusiastic media ready to pounce upon every lie and deceitful allegation as a brahma vakya.

Contrast this with present dispensation when even allegation of PMO involvement in nepotism is shrugged off.

To understand this behaviour, we have to understand that media has an ideological agenda. And to this further this agenda, viz. imposition of liberal-secular sensibility on Indian conscious, that media frames the narrative, by controlling and manipulating the information and claiming unquestionable moral authority by appointing itself as the neutral umpire of the political intrigue, and a defender of the hapless common man.
And it is to achieve this end that media ignores to address the little matter of where does the buck stop.

You see the problem is much deeper than political. The malaise pervades the very foundations of public discourse and corrodes the vitals of nation. It must be destroyed to preserve the civilization.

PS. Ashok Malik says it much better than I can

Priorities

Those of you who thought that UPA government was gutless, spineless and shameless, think again.
See it is all about priorities.

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Aphorism: Individualism

Individualism as a end results in the most pathetic kind of conformity. Hence the demographics of hard rock.

Saturday, May 24, 2008

Daughter of feminist

Friday, May 23, 2008

Please contribute for

ship H.E. out to Iceland" fund.

This, even by the low expectations that one has set for H.E., is a crime to writing.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Aphorism: Hell

And it is with tepid nonchalance that hell is unleashed